You Can Bet On It (Week 5)

You Can Bet On It! (9/29/2017)

Welcome back,

So last week was not the week I expect in college football and a lot of teams really showed they are the real deal while others showed they are flashes in the pan. I feel lucky enough that I came away with a win and am just happy I didn’t pick pro games because that would I have been a disaster. Without any further delay I am going to try and see if I can correct those mistakes this weekend even though I know I am sadly getting to this blog later than I would like

Michigan State vs Iowa, Lansing MI, 7:30pm

Spread: Michigan State by 4

Over/Under: 44 points

This is one of those classic big ten battles between two teams that are often overlooked yet make the depth of talent in the big ten very obvious. Now neither team has done a lot to blow viewers mines this year but they both have been impressive. Now given that Michigan State is at home this is why I believe that they are favored in this contest even after a bad loss in East Bend last week to the Fighting Irish.  With Iowa come only seven seconds away from another huge upset at come last week against Penn State I think Iowa is clearly the better team. I am willing to take Iowa keeping it with a field goal even though I think they will win this game out right, however I don’t foresee a high scoring game so I’ll take the under as well.

Michigan State: 18 Iowa: 24

Memphis vs Central Florida, Orlando FL, 7:00pm

Spread: Central Florida by 4 ½ points

Over/Under: 69 points

Now this game is a tough on to call but it’s a game I really like and think will be an enjoyable game to watch even though I believe that most people will sleep on it. Central Florida has only played two games so far this season but was looked good and covered they spread in both, one of which last week came back to bite me. Memphis on the other had has not had the same luck although they are undefeated and this game being postponed to this later date I feel works in the Tigers favor, the only real question is how much of an advantage. Now I am going to going to take the gamble on this one and find out if it should be shame on me as I don’t know if Memphis has enough to win but I think they can so I will take them to at least keep it to a field goal and I’ll take the over it what will be a back and forth contest till the end.

Memphis: 38 Central Florida: 35

Notre Dame vs Miami (OH), South Bend IN, 5:00pm

Spread: Notre Dame by 20 ½ points

Over/Under: 53 ½ points

Let me be clear as I start, I do not have faith in either of these teams and although that should be expected from Miami of Ohio, I still don’t by the hype or belief that this is a good Fighting Irish team. With that being said Notre Dame is coming off a big win against Michigan State where they were able to cover the spread at home and Miami has struggled to beat the spread in any of their games this season with the expectation of one they actually did. Coming off the high from last week’s win and this being the 2^nd Notre Dame home game in a row and Miami of Ohio’s second road game in a row combined with if I’m being honest the separation there should be in talent I am going to go with Notre Dame to continue the momentum in South Bend before there season goes bottoms up. I will take the over as I expect Miami of Ohio will be able to score but Notre Dame will not back off wanting to keep the lead as large as they can.

Notre Dame: 42 Miami (OH): 18

LOCK OF THE WEEK

Air Force vs New Mexico, Albuquerque NM, 7:00pm

Spread: Air Force by 2 ½ points

Over/Under: 50 points

First of all Air Force has proven to be my cash cow this year and I am not going to abandon the golden goose just yet. Air Force has covered in all but their loss last week, but they still manage to stay with any team they try and face even those games that don’t look close like the Michigan game. New Mexico on the other hand has had a hard time this year against most good to decent teams they have played, and I am surprise to see they are the underdog at home which show Vegas is showing the Falcons some respect over the Lobos. I will stick with my lucky charm and take Air Force to win this out right by a touchdown and with the over/under so low I will take the over as well

Air Force: 31 New Mexico: 24

Current Record: 7-8-1

Last Week: 1-3