You Can Bet On It! (Week 2)

You Can Bet On It! (9/7/2017)

Welcome back,

So last week did not start off well for me and my picks to say the very least, although I am not all that surprised by this given the fact that most week one picks are often a crap shoot because little is actually known about who these teams really are yet. That being said it’s not excuse to walk out of here with a 0 in the win column and that is partly my fault for not checking the most up to date lines regarding the Georgia game so I am going to count that as loss as Georgia did beat the 14 ½ point cover. But without wasting anymore time I am going to try and turn this record around real quick with 4 picks I like this week.

Notre Dame vs Georgia, South Bend IN, 7:30pm

Spread: Norte Dame by 4 points

Over/Under: 56 ½ points

Okay so I have to start out by admitting that Notre Dame was a much better looking team than I would have ever envisioned based on last year. That being said this Georgia team is nowhere close to the Temple team that Notre Dame got to face last week and this is going to be a real challenge for the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame certainly showed real improvement on the offensive side of the ball with great looking quarterback play and a running attack that put up 400 plus rushing yards, this is going true test for the Georgia defensive line. The worries will not be all on the defensive side of the ball for Georgia who will have to start a true freshman in Jake Fromm who did look good when he had to come into the game last weekend. Georgia is going to need the 1-2 punch at running back to big up a large amount of the offensive load to keep the pressure off of Fromm while hoping for the defense to slow down the Irish run game. All that being said and even with the question marks I still think that Georgia should be the favorite to win this game so I certainly believe they can keep this game with in the 4 point Notre Dame is favored by and over but I feel that is going to close too.

Notre Dame: 27 Georgia: 30

Louisville vs North Carolina, Chapel Hill NC,  12:00pm

Spread: Louisville by 10 points

Over/Under: 62 ½ points

The first thing I noticed was that this game open in Las Vegas with Louisville only being a 8 point favorite and at this point the spread has increased to 10 points. Now when you see the spread move like this it means that a lot of people have been betting on Louisville and that has forced the line to move to a large spread. As for the game this is one that at the beginning of the year looked like it could be an interesting match up, however after the week 2 performances from both teams this match up looks less appealing. North Carolina has some serious questions at quarterback and had a very tough time protecting the ball, and given that they were at home against California last week yet were still blown out all add up to a lot of concern for the Tar Heels. As for Louisville they didn’t put a beating on Purdue the way that I would but they did control most of the game and seemed to have good control on both offense and defense. In this match up I think Louisville has a well round team and North Carolina has just too many questions and concerns, that and the Cardinals still have raining Heisman in Lamar Jackson, I’m going with Louisville and the under.

Louisville: 38 North Carolina: 21

Boston College vs Wake Forest, Chestnut Hill MA, 1:00pm

Spread: Boston College by 1 point

Over/Under: 46 points

This another one of those games that started the week as a pick which is a strange way of just as strange way of saying there is no favorite and just pick the winner. That being said, there has been enough movement or bets on Boston College to move the line but not by much so I’m not going to take that shift into too much consideration. As for the teams in this contest neither is overwhelmingly special or going to surprise anyone as being a contender seeing as neither team has more the 2 or 3 real stars on their rosters. Given that neither team played a really tough match up last week it is hard to go off of anything that happened last week, but a late field goal that allowed Boston College to win is a bit worrisome. These are however 2 teams that no each other very well as they both play in the ACC and this should be a close game as Vegas is already predicting. So I am going to go with my gut in this situation and my prior history against picking against Boston College at home, which is don’t! I’ll take Boston College by the 1 point and I’ll take the over in a game that could be sloppy at times.

Boston College: 27 Wake Forest: 24

LOCK OF THE WEEK

Texas vs San Jose St, Austin TX, 3:30pm

Spread: Texas by 26 points

Over/Under: 63 ½ points

Let me start off this breakdown by saying I am shocked with how many issues that Texas had last Saturday against Maryland, if you didn’t see it consider yourself lucky because even though it was close at times Texas played ugly. San Jose St on the other hand is not anything you would want to typically write home about or really write about in general but they are 1-1 on the season and the loss came at the hands of a very good Southern Florida team. Given all of the problems I witnessed last Saturday with the Longhorns and the fact that San Jose St was able to stay within 20 points of a team that is already much better than Texas I have no problem saying I believe San Jose St will be able to keep the score within 26 points even with a Texas win, although I also believe that this will be a game swings at times so I will also take the over.

Texas: 42 San Jose St: 28

Current Record: 0-3-1