You Can Bet On It (Week 4)

You Can Bet On It! (9/21/2017)

Welcome back,

Well I certainly made up for the mega fumble on my pick is week one by going perfect last week, including Air Force keeping it close against Michigan, so my goal is to use the momentum. This was week is like last week another one of those weeks where you see some close games and a few that our going to have outrageous spreads because we are still just outside conference play really kicking off in college, which in my opinion is where some of the best football is to watch. With that being said I chose to go with a lot of big games this week, and most with close spreads that I may be a little unsure about but I would like to see if my picks last week were more luck or if I still have the touch against the spread. So before lady luck leaves let’s get into this week’s picks.

Georgia vs Mississippi State, Athens GA, 7:00pm

Spread: Georgia by 6 points

Over/Under: 50 points

Now this was a game I over looked when I reviewed and we talked about our preseason outlook for the SEC on our podcast and I’ll happily admit that. With that said I do love great mid season surprise when a good game appears in the schedule. But picking this game is no easy task considering both teams have cover the spread in 5 out of 6 of their games this season. This game is going to be won or lost when Georgia has the ball against that Mississippi State defense and with that how well the Bulldogs 1-2 punch at running backs can move the chains and control the clock verses the other Bulldogs being able to get the defense off the field.  With that being said and the fact that this is a conference game after all, I see this being a close game that could go either way and come down to the final possession so I am going to go with Mississippi State to cover the spread and the over.

Georgia: 31 Mississippi: 28

UCLA vs Stanford, Stanford CA ,  10:30pm

Spread: Stanford by 7 ½ points

Over/Under: 62 points

This game is another one of those games between two teams that know each other very well and it’s not hard to see why considering how close these schools are to each other. The first thing I noticed is that both of these squads have had a hard time beating the spread in their games this year going 2-4 in their combined 6 games this season. The second thing I have seen with regards to my choice is UCLA’s history of having trouble against any team that is halfway decent and consistency of having to battle or come back in the 4^th quarter. Now I know that Stanford had a hard time against USC this year but if you have seen the Trojans play this year that shouldn’t be a surprise to you. With all that being said I still believe that Stanford is the better team in this one and will take the gamble that the Carinal will cover the spread even if it’s just barley so I will take Stanford and the over.

UCLA: 30 Stanford: 38

Alabama vs Vanderbilt, Nashville TN, 3:30pm

Spread: Alabama by 18 ½

Over/Under: 43 ½ points

Okay so let’s be honest with this one right out of the gate… Alabama is just a much better team as you see by the large spread and typically that would make me want to look closer at the underdog to keep it closer than that. However Vanderbilt has not really played anyone but Kansas State this season and other than Florida State neither has Alabama, but the difference in talent in this game is just to glaring to me for a under 20 point spread. I think Alabama is going to have no problem with winning this game and being able to hold Vanderbilt’s offense off so I will take Alabama and given that the Crimson Tide has scored 41 points in their last two games I will certainly take the over.

Alabama: 45 Vanderbilt: 24

LOCK OF THE WEEK

Maryland vs Central Florida, College Park MD, 3:00pm

Spread: Maryland 3 ½ points

Over/Under: 64 points

This is a game that I would normally not want to choose for my lock of the week considering Central Florida has play 1 game this season and Maryland has played 2 so there is not much prior information to go on. With that in mind I chose this game because I love the spread, I don’t know what kind of team Central Florida is going to be this season but having watched Maryland this season they have shown that they are a much better team than most and in my opinion Las Vegas thinks. I believe that this spread would have been much higher if Central Florida had to go up against Memphis so if Vegas wants to make Maryland a 3 ½ point favorite I will gladly take advantage as I think Maryland can win this game handedly but I don’t know we will reach 64 points so I will take the under with this matchup.

Maryland: 34 Central Florida: 27

Current Record: 6-5-1

Last Week: 4-0