You Can Bet On It! (Week 6)

You Can Bet On It! (10/6/17)

Welcome back,

Well I may have to re name this blog to you can bet on it but I wouldn’t the way this season has been going for me so far. I will say that I am also struggling in the yahoo random pick’em against the spread but at least there I am 47% correct there, which is more than I can say for my picks in games in this blog. That being said all this crazy football I have been privileged to see brings me so much joy, in my opinion my incorrect picks further shows how entertaining and unpredictable college football can be. With all of that being considered I am going to pray that October is a month for redemption so without further delay let’s see how I can botch up these games this week.

Central Florida vs Cincinnati, Cincinnati OH, 6:00pm

Spread: Central Florida by 17

Over/Under: 57 ½ points

So last week I must admit that I was Rip Van Winkle sleeping on Central Florida and I will have to keep that in mind for the rest of the season. Now I didn’t have much to go on with the Knights but last week against a quality Memphis team, even to my anguish, proved that this team is pretty well rounded. Cincinnati on the other hand has not done much of anything to instill confidence in them as a team, especially with back to back losses against Navy and Marshall the latter being at home is not a good look. Now typically like I said in the past 17 points is a large spread but it’s not crazy enough to scare me away, given how poorly Cincinnati has played this season and the quality defense that Central Florida has shown this year I think the spread could easily have been higher. Now bettors must agree with me seeing as this game open up at 14 points and has already risen to 17, so I am going to get while the getting is good and take Central Florida to cover early and just breeze to victory so I will take the under as well. 

Central Florida: 37 Cincinnati: 18

Michigan vs Michigan St, Ann Arbor MI, 7:30pm

Spread: Michigan by 13 ½ points

Over/Under: 40 points

This seems like it has trap game written all over it and I am least confident about this game more than any other game that I chose to pick this week, mainly because of the inconsistency of Michigan State. Now this is no doubt a rivalry game as should be obvious, however this game has a lot of questions about both sides. Michigan has so many questions from the QB position to what the identity of this defense will be considering their inconsistency. Michigan State on the other hand has played pretty much as most would expect and had a very convincing win over a strong Iowa squad after getting shown up by Norte Dame the week before. With all of this in consideration and given the almost two touchdown spread I think the rivalry, passion, and hate for each other will take the lead in this type of game. Now I won’t even try and say I know who is going to walk out with the win given the way this season has gone, but I do think this game will be close so I will take Michigan State and the over considering the low 40 points.

Michigan: 24 Michigan St: 21

Texas vs Kansas St, Austin TX, 7:00pm

Spread: Texas by 4 points

Over/Under: 50 points

To start off this selection neither one of these teams are really anything special when you really look at the quality of wins this year. That being said I do really enjoy this match up and almost chose this as my lock of the week, not that that mean all that much for me this year. Kansas State has had moments that they looked really good but have struggled in the last two games against some sub par opponents in Vanderbilt and Baylor. Texas came out really slow in a loss to Maryland but was able to get things together with a strong showing in a field goal loss to USC  and two wins against teams they should have beat including an underrated Iowa State. I think with the momentum on their side and the home town crowd in Austin I am going to take Texas to win this game by at least a touchdown and I’ll take a shot with the over. 

Texas: 31 Kansas St: 21

LOCK OF THE WEEK

Miami vs Florida State, Tallahassee FL, 3:30pm

Spread: Miami by 3 points

Over/Under: 48 ½ points

First of all I realize that this is a rivalry game the same as the battle for Michigan is, but the difference here is spread and quite frankly... talent. Not that Florida State can really do much about losing their starting QB in the first game of the season but they have done little in the way of correcting the issue among others. Florida State has yet to cover spread in any of their first three games which stands out to me; Miami on the other hand has covered in two of their three games. Now it’s worth noting that Miami hasn’t played any really tough teams this season even though I think that the Duke team they played last week is better than they showed in that performance. The reason I am taking this game as my lock of the week is because of how small the spread is which I can attribute to the rivalry, but the talent and momentum is clearly in Miami’s favor. I am going to say Miami can go on the road and get a convincing win against a depleted and confused Florida State team combined with the under on well a gamble.

Miami: 28 Florida State: 13

Current Record: 8-11-1

Last Week: 1-3