You Can Bet On It! (10/12/17)
Welcome back,
What difference a week can make but that is the way to
college football cookie can crumble some times, and I will take the wins from
last week. I’m not going to ride the wave right now because last time I did that
this year it backfired on my big time, so this time I am just going to give it
the college try yet again. I am happy to say that I finally was able to moved
just beyond 50% thanks to a 4-0 week last week and that one push I had earlier
in the year. Without dragging this out too long and wasting everyone’s time
let’s see picks I’m confident in and likely to overthink this week.
Rutgers vs Illinois,
Champaign IL, 3:30pm
Spread: Illinois by 2 ½ points
Over/Under: 47 ½ points
Now this is not going to be the game you want to grab the
phone and call up a friend to tell them they should watch this game by any
means. That being said I believe this is going to be sloppy yet entertaining
toilet bowl. Neither one of these teams is decent let alone good, but the spread
is what has caught by eye at first glance. Now a one or two point game is not
out of question however that outcome is far less likely especially in a college
game, and if I am being honest this game has the chance to go either way. I am
going to go with coaching when it comes to this game and in my opinion Illinois
has the better coach in Lovie Smith so I will take the Illini to cover and the
under.
Rutgers: 17 Illinois:
24
Texas Tech vs West
Virginia, Morgantown WV, 12:00pm
Spread: West Virginia by 3 ½ points
Over/Under: 76 points
This game is going to be the polar opposite of the game we
just went over because as mentioned in our pod cast this week the Big 12 does
not play any defense. So if you were looking for a high scoring shootout this
is going to be the game for you as Vegas has noted with the crazy high yet not
unbelievable over/under. Now both teams are having pretty good years with Texas
Tech having a slight edge in the wins department, yet even with the better
record is still the underdog which I know is because they are on the road this
week. With that being said I am going to go with the over because it’s the Big
12 after all but I am going to take Texas Tech to keep the game within in the 3
½ because they have yet to lose against the spread this season and I believe
they have a fighting chance to even leave Morgantown with the win.
Texas Tech: 48 West
Virginia: 45
Texas Christian vs
Kansas St, Manhattan KS, 7:00pm
Spread: Texas by 6 points
Over/Under: 53 points
Why leave the Big 12 when we don’t have to plus the games
are usually good for a wild battle. I will say that this game is not going to
quite the shootout that the game I just went over will be and I believe will be
much less entertaining. The reason I believe this has everything to do with how
bad Kansas St has been as of late, last week I took a weak Texas team over them
and I’m not about to start believing in them now. Texas Christian is also a
much better team than in state Texas and even though this is on the road I have
no problem picking Texas Christian to win by more than a touchdown and well
because it’s the Big 12, you guessed it the over.
Texas Christian: 35
Kansas St: 21
LOCK OF THE WEEK
Michigan vs Indiana,
Bloomington IN, 12:00pm
Spread: Michigan by 7
Over/Under: 47 points
This game was the first game that stood out to be when I
took a look at the spreads this week and I can understand why it is only 7
points given what happened last week to Michigan. That logic has to be what the
odds makers were thinking because this spread is really low considering how bad
of a team Indiana is this year. Michigan has had a bad lose and they are in
mega rebuild mode after losing most of their starts but Harbaugh’s coaching and
the talent difference should be enough for Michigan to rebound even on the road
by more than a touchdown. The over under in this one could really go either way
so I am going to say over but just barely.
Michigan: 31 Indiana:
17
Current Record: 12-11-1
Last Week: 4-0
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